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Updated, 1:01 p.m. A poll commissioned by the liberal Daily Kos web log shows signs of trouble for Democratic Rep. Paul Hodes at this early stage of the 2010 U.S. Senate campaign, but it also shows that Republican frontrunner Kelly Ayotte is in a competitive race for her party's nomination with Ovide Lamontagne.
Updated, 1:25 p.m. Republican U.S. Senate candidate Kelly Ayotte will be endorsed later today by all nine of the state's county sheriffs.
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With third quarter federal fundraising reports now public, details are now emerging and charges are flying.
Updated, 3:07 p.m. The congresswoman has $295,957 on hand. Would-be opponents Bob Bestiani and Frank Guinta released their numbers today.
Updated, 2:25 a.m. A new ad from FixItNowNH says it's time for expanded gambling.
Updated, 1:34 p.m. Also, a UNH poll shows that most New Hampshire men aren't pleased with the President.
TUESDAY UPDATE: Nashua Republican Jennifer Horn is expected to run for the 2nd Congressional District seat in 2010.
The moderate Republican represented the 2nd District for six terms until his ouster by Paul Hodes in the Democratic landslide of 2006. Among the big names on his exploratory committee: Tom Rath, Chuck Morse and Scott Hilliard.
►Foster's: Former state Supreme Court justice won't seek U.S. Senate seat
►Gatsas, Roy will debate on October 7 (7)
Reader comments: 21
Updated, 2:19 p.m. The congresswoman says she's under fire from FOX News, Glenn Beck fans and Tea Party protesters.
Laura Van Hove has worked for Bob Dole, Steve Forbes and Rudy Giuliani.
A key senator has high praise for the former attorney general -- but stops short of an endorsement.
Kelly Ayotte already finds herself on the defensive, mostly over her "relationship" with the Washington-based National Republican Senatorial Committee.
The Devine Strategies director says Lamontagne will decide on a U.S. Senate candidacy by the end of the year.
What do they say Charlie Crist, Sarah Palin and Kelly Ayotte have in common?
Outgoing Attorney General Kelly Ayotte continued to attract much political attention in New Hampshire and Washington yesterday.
All of a sudden, Republicans are on the offensive. From Washington to Concord.
Linking state Republican candidates to George W. Bush obviously has been a winning formula for New Hampshire Democrats in the last two election cycles.
Both parties say they are going all out in phone banking and door-to-door efforts to get out the vote on April 21.
Shhh! It's being kept very quiet, but we understand veteran Manchester criminal defense attorney and former prosecutor John Kacavas is in the running.
Sen. Jeanne Shaheen is a member of a new "Moderate Dems Working Group" of 15 Democratic senators, led by Evan Bayh of Indiana.
John DiStaso's Granite Status: Hillary 'weaseling' on pledge?
By JOHN DISTASO
Senior Political Reporter
Thursday, Oct. 11, 2007
John DiStaso, the New Hampshire Union Leader's senior political writer, began writing "Granite Status" in 1982. His influential reports on behind-the-scenes politics in the first-primary state are must reading every Thursday for insiders from Concord to Washington, D.C. Watch for "Granite Status" updates on UnionLeader.com whenever New Hampshire political news breaks.
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HAS HILLARY CLINTON violated a pledge she signed in August not to "campaign or participate" in any state that holds a primary or caucus before Feb. 5, 2008, except for the four early states approved by the Democratic National Committee?
Local leaders of her top competitors' campaigns say that when she kept her name on the ballot in Michigan on Tuesday, while their candidates removed their names, she clearly broke the written promise.
Clinton's campaign, predictably, says she broke no pledge because she won't actively campaign in Michigan, which has a primary scheduled for Jan. 15, or Florida, whose primary is slated for Jan. 29.
►Sen. Clinton defends her Michigan primary decision
►NH Public Radio: mp3 of Laura Knoy's interview with Sen. Clinton
The campaigns of Barack Obama, John Edwards, Bill Richardson and Joe Biden -- all of whom withdrew from the Michigan ballot -- are looking for a chink in Clinton's armor in New Hampshire, where she holds a 2-1 lead, according to recent polls. This was a clear opportunity to attack, and attack they did.
But when one reads the August pledge, a legitimate question is raised.
It states, "I, (name), Democratic candidate for President, pledge I shall not campaign or participate in any state which schedules a presidential primary election or caucus before Feb. 5, 2008, except for the states of Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire and South Carolina." It goes on to specifically say that "campaigning" will be as defined by "the rules and regulations" of the Democratic National Committee.
It gives no specific definition of "participate," but the other campaigns say that, clearly, leaving one's name on the ballot falls within the plain meaning of the word.
Dick Bouley, state chair for Bill Richardson called Clinton's decision "very disturbing. This is a person who claims to have leadership qualities and wants to lead the party -- and she pulls something like that, which could be very harmful to the New Hampshire primary."
Bouley said it's "double-talk and a game of semantics. How is this not participating?"
Don't 'slight' Michigan
Clinton advisers have said they don't want to alienate Michigan, a key general election state, and in particular, the minority population there.
Rep. Carolyn Kilpatrick, D-Mich., chairs the Congressional Black Caucus, and her son, Kwame Kilpatrick, is Detroit's mayor.
Meanwhile, Michigan Gov. Jennifer Granholm has been set to endorse Clinton for a while, but after Tuesday's ballot developments, she hinted strongly that the endorsement is imminent.
But with Obama, Edwards, Richardson and Biden off the ballot (and Dennis Kucinich trying to get off), Clinton will be left with an empty victory in Michigan over Mike Gravel and Chris Dodd, who said he stayed on because he did not want to "slight" Michigan.
Biden state campaign chair Rep. Jim Ryan said the pledge "required no campaigning. It's a hedge if you say you won't put up banners or do meet-and-greets but will remain on the ballot. Remaining on the ballot is participating and campaigning."
Clinton spokesman Mo Elleithee said, "Clinton signed a pledge saying she will not campaign. She is not participating in the Michigan primary because she is not campaigning there. She is honoring the pledge."
But state Sen. Peter Burling, a top Edwards supporter, said the "ordinary meaning" of the word "participate" is clear.
"It's that kind of behavior, such as signing a pledge and breaking it, which gets to the complaint that many of us have worried about," he said. "It's the compulsion to parse, the belief that by weaseling through the cracks in the meaning of language, you can say one thing and get the benefit of the broad interpretation and do something quite different."
Bush-like?
Burling said that with George W. Bush in the White House, Americans have become weary of "parsing and dishonesty and a lack of credibility which has come to dominate Washington politics."
He said the Michigan Democratic hierarchy is pro-Clinton and showed two years ago they wanted to "get rid of the New Hampshire primary, with all its retail advantage, so she does not have to compete against an under-funded candidate with good ideas." He said the decision to leave Clinton's name on the ballot appears to be "the conclusion of that process.
Obama co-chair Ned Helms, a former state Democratic chair, yesterday sent an e-mail to top state Democrats asking them "to urge Senator Clinton to fulfill her pledge by pursuing every available legal means to have her name removed from the Michigan primary ballot."
"This is beyond campaign tactics," said Helms of his motives. "This is really about the primary."
State Democratic Chair Ray Buckley, one of four pledge sponsors, said he's "not going to address" whether Clinton and Dodd broke the pledge. He instead blamed Michigan Democratic Chair Mark Brewer for the mess.
"For him to have submitted these names for the ballot in the first place and put the candidates in this difficult situation is very unfortunate," said Buckley. "Shame on Mark."
A December primary?
State primary protection law author Rep. Jim Splaine, D-Portsmouth, sparked debate on the Blue Hampshire Web blog this week with his lengthy essay suggesting that the New Hampshire primary be held "on or around Dec. 11" -- a mere two months from today.
We can't get into all the details of his argument here, but Splaine essentially says that a mid-December date is better than having the primary in early January, fewer than eight days behind Iowa's caucus. The early January scenario is a distinct possibility for the first time since Iowa began having an early caucus in 1976.
A primary a few days after Iowa would lose much of its influence, he argues. A December primary, before Iowa, would increase its influence and force candidates to spend the next two months almost exclusively here, Splaine says.
Since Splaine is close to Secretary of State Bill Gardner, his blog sparked speculation that perhaps Gardner is seriously considering a pre-holidays primary.
Former state Chair Kathy Sullivan responded on Blue Hampshire that Splaine's suggestion is "a very bad idea" and would mark "the end of the primary going forward into the future."
She said jumping to December would portray Granite Staters as "arrogant people who only care about New Hampshire." Sullivan argues for a Jan. 10 date, a week after Iowa but less than a week before Michigan. But, she says, with only a few candidates on the Michigan Democratic ballot, it's no longer a "similar event" under the state primary protection law and could legally be held fewer than seven days before Michigan.
The Congressional front
Grant Bosse of Hillsborough, a 35-year-old legislative assistant to Sen. John Sununu, a former staffer in the New Hampshire House speaker's office and son of former House Majority Leader Leigh Bosse, confirms he is seriously considering a run for the 2nd District U.S. House seat held by Democrat Paul Hodes. Bosse says he won't make a decision until after the presidential primary.
"I just think we need a strong candidate in that district," said Bosse, who is discussing his potential plans with GOP activists while on vacation from Capitol Hill this week.
At the moment, he says, all he has is an e-mail: grant@bosse2008.com.
State Sen. Bob Clegg, R-Hudson, is also still considering a run.
Hodes, meanwhile, will report a financially healthy campaign next week. He's raised $245,203 in the third quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to about $780,000.
Campaign aides say that's more than double what any House candidate has ever raised at this point in a campaign. Hodes will report $530,000 on hand.
Romney and his faith
New Hampshire Sunday News reporter Shawne Wickham has this from the campaign trail last weekend:
Mitt Romney refutes an assertion in a recent column by Robert Novak that "a speech has been written" that addresses his Mormon faith.
After the former Massachusetts governor worked the crowds Saturday at the New Hampshire Snowmobile Association's grass drags event in Fremont, Romney was asked by the Sunday News about the Novak column and said there's no such speech. "I'm sure many people have sent me drafts and I'll bet the files in our office have a number of drafts," he said. But, he said, "Every speech I've given in the campaign, I have written. And I have not written a speech on religion.
"I may, but I haven't yet," he added.
Novak wrote that Romney must answer misgivings about his Mormon faith by delivering a speech to "deplore a religious test as un-American."
Asked if he agrees with Novak's underlying point, Romney said, "Given the fact I haven't written the speech, I'm not sure what the message would be, but I do agree there should not be a religious test required for qualification for office in these United States" -- noting Article 6 of the U.S. Constitution prohibits just such a test.
But Romney said voters want as much information about the candidates as possible, including on such personal issues as religion, taxes, family and health. "And then when all is said and done, they decide which of those things will influence their decision. And I don't think people will choose a candidate based on what church they go to."
Quick takes
--Democratic chair Buckley expects 750-800 in Manchester on Nov. 16-17 for a meeting of the DNC's eastern region membership. Young Democrats and Stonewall Democrats from across the country will meet in conjunction with the DNC group, and all Democratic presidential candidates have been invited.
-- The Democrats' Jefferson-Jackson Dinner on Oct. 20, featuring Virginia Sen. Jim Webb, is sold out, with about 1,300 expected.
-- Red Sox fan Dodd is raffling off a ticket to Game 6 of the American League Championship Series tickets for a minimum donation of $20.04 (to mark the last Red Sox world championship) to his campaign. Dodd will accompany the winner. If there is no Game 6, then it will be Game 2 of the World Series. If there is no Game 2 of the World Series, the winner gets to spend a day with Dodd on the campaign trail.
--New Hampshire Citizens for an Independent voice, which counts 800 members, will hold a conference on Sunday at the Alpine Grove Banquet facility in Hollis. Local leader Russ Ouellette of Bedford says although the members have different views on the issues, "We're organized around the concept of having a voice and being included in the process."
--Another Russ Ouellette, the school board member from Manchester Ward 11 and candidate for alderman, is backing Dodd.
--Clinton picked up her seventh state Senate endorsement this week. Iris Estabrook of Durham, chair of the Senate Education Committee, is impressed with Clinton's commitment to early learning as well as K-12, and says Clinton "recognizes we need to respect the professional judgment of our teachers."
--Clinton continues her latest two-day swing through the state today with a speech on college affordability at Plymouth State University and a visit to the Hackleboro Orchard's barn in Canterbury.
--Richardson will unveil his national education policy in a speech today Manchester West High School and will continue campaigning in the state through tomorrow, while Edwards returns on Saturday and Sunday.
--Romney's first direct mail piece arrived in GOP mailboxes this week, focusing on government spending and calling him "a proven fiscal conservative."
--The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has a new Web ad continuing its criticism of Sununu's support for the Iraq war.
--Republican Fred Thompson has canceled his Friday trip to the state. A campaign aide cited personal reasons.
John DiStaso is senior political reporter of the New Hampshire Union Leader.


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Reader comments
John DiStaso, the New Hampshire Union Leader's senior political writer, began writing "Granite Status" in 1982. His influential reports on behind-the-scenes politics in the first-primary state are must reading every Thursday for insiders from Concord to Washington, D.C. Watch for "Granite Status" updates on UnionLeader.com whenever New Hampshire political news breaks.
YOUR COMMENTS
John,
To clarify one point in your column on the "religious test" argument made by Novak and by Romney is that while Article 6 prohibits a religious test, that prohibition is on government and not on private citizens.
While the government is prohibited from passing a law that says a Mormon can't run for President, which would clearly be unconstitutional, there is nothing un-American whatsoever from anyone deciding not to vote for a person because of their religious or theological differences. To say that someone can't cast a vote informed by their faith would actually violate the spirit of the 1st Amendment freedom of expression. The most important civic "voice" we have is our vote, and should someone choose not to vote for a person because of their religious beliefs, that is as fundamentally American as it gets! Mr. Romney, in no way, has any room to complain that Article 6 is being violated.
And given the founders put the 1st Amendment actually first, and way before the obscurity of Article 6, we should be careful not to get the fundamentals of this country backwards.
- Kevin Blier, VT
Ms. Sullivan, the pledge does not, as you assert, say only that she will not campaign. It says "campaign or participate". The pledge does not indicate that anything written in the pledge is subject to the DNC, their interpretation, or anything other than the words written on the page. If a candidate has her name on the ballot, she is "participating" in the primary. (participate: to take part in something). I provided a dictionary definition in case there was any confusion as to what "is" is.
- Peter Blake, Manchester
I spent several years on the DNC Rules Committee, and voted on the rules that prohibit campaigning in states like Michigan. Being listed on a ballot was excluded. The pledge says you won't campaign, and she is honoring the pledge. As an aside, all those years I was fighting with the DNC to protect NH, it would have been great if all these canddiates who are protesting now had helped us then - I don't think we would be having any calendar issues!
- Kathy Sullivan, Manchester, NH
Semantic disputes from the Clintons are no real surprise to me. Does anyone remember the following gem from her beloved husband? "It depends on what the definition
of the word 'is' is". The difference this time, and one I don't think Hillary understands, is that there is no letter of the law here. This is the court of public opinion. Oooooops
- Brian, Raymond, NH
This move on the part of Hillary Clinton brings back some of the more negative aspects of the Clinton administration. I remember clearly now the ability of Bill Clinton to manipulate the english language to his favor. By focusing on the true meaning of "participate", Hillary Clinton draws focus away from the fact that she is violating the spirit of the agreement. It is time for true honesty and integrity in the White House. I will support Barack Obama for President of the United States.
- Sharon, Baltimore, MD
And the GOP attack machine gears up. I'd wager there are millions being spent right now to go after Hillary much like they did with Bill. But, I suppose that if I were losing on the issues like the GOP is currently is, I'd go for character assassination too. But hold on, it is only just the beginning. I suspect that Ricahrd mellon Sciafe will be VERY busy in the next year or so.
- Tom, Rochester
If you look behind the facade and the false promises you will find the truth, some of which is astounding to the point of shock. Anyone who believes Clinton will do what she says is badly mistaken. The "fire in the belly" often has a two edge sword. She is a liar and a thief, and I actually feel sorry for those who don't understand or see that.
- Robert, Concord, NH
I find it hard to believe that the Republicans are going to give Rep. Hodes a free ride to re-election, Where are the big guns with all the money are they going to cede this seat by default and put up token opposition, is the party leadershp that week kneed. Where is Charlie Bass? is he so comfortable as a lobbyist that he does not want to redeem his loss. NH's Republican Party is in real bad shape if they can't come up with someone with the clout and fire in the belly to give the incumbent a run for his money. What is Fergy Cullen and Steve DiMaura doing playing tiddly winks. One would think that the State's majority party would be itching to get that 2nd District Congressional seat back in the Republican Column. Their leadership to this point has been weak and shamefull.
- Richard L. Fortin, Manchester
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